Nnamdi Azikiwe Stadium · Analysis updated 02:16 UTC
Enugu Rangers vs AS Sobemap Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Enugu Rangers and 1.03 for AS Sobemap, a combined total of 2.37. That distribution gives Enugu Rangers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
71.4% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Enugu Rangers home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
AS Sobemap away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Enugu Rangers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 27% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Enugu Rangers and 1.03 for AS Sobemap, a combined 2.37 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.9%
- 1–012.5%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.7%
Recent form
Enugu Rangers
- 2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z · A vs MC Alger · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs MC Alger · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Barau FC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Abia Warriors · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Warri Wolves · 1-0 (W)
AS Sobemap
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Cavaliers · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Panthères · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Espoir Savalou · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hodio · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bani Gansè · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.