Nigeria · NPFL · Matchweek 3615:00
EnyimbaLDLWW

2 – 1

Sunday, 3 May 2026

Enyimba International Stadium · Analysis updated 07:06 UTC

Enyimba vs Remo Stars Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Enyimba and 1.10 for Remo Stars, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Enyimba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

70.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Enyimba home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Remo Stars away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Enyimba to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 27% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.40 goals for Enyimba and 1.10 for Remo Stars, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Enyimba win44%
Draw27%
Remo Stars win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–08.2%

Recent form

Enyimba

  • 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nasarawa United · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Warri Wolves · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Katsina United · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Plateau United · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Shooting Stars · 4-2 (W)

Remo Stars

  • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bendel Insurance · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayelsa United · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Enyimba · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Niger Tornadoes · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Barau FC · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rivers United104511017
2Enugu Rangers8521517
3Nasarawa United10523317
4Plateau United10433415
5Barau FC10361315
6Bendel Insurance9504215
7Sporting Lagos9432215
8Kano Pillars10361115
9Niger Tornadoes10433115
10Doma United9423014
11Ikorodu City10343213
12Katsina United10343-213
13Kwara United10334012
14Warri Wolves10334-112
15Shooting Stars10334-212
16Kun Khalifat FC10334-612
17Abia Warriors10244-410
18Ranchers Bees9225-38
19Enyimba10226-48
20Inter Lagos10127-142

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.