· Analysis updated 16:02 UTC
Eordaikos vs Pierikos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Eordaikos and 0.64 for Pierikos, a combined total of 2.08. That distribution gives Eordaikos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eordaikos win
56.3% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 0.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eordaikos home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pierikos away threat
Scored in 0 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eordaikos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 27% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Eordaikos and 0.64 for Pierikos, a combined 2.08 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–017.9%
- 2–012.9%
- 0–012.5%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.3%
Recent form
Eordaikos
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Doxa Mascholouriou · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Makedonikos Siatista · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Evosmou · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sarakinos · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Asteras Kard. · 0-0 (D)
Pierikos
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sarakinos · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Iraklis Larissa · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Veria · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Alexandreia · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-21T13:00:00.000Z · Eordaikos 1-0 Pierikos (Gamma Ethniki - Group 2)
- 2025-11-23T13:00:00.000Z · Eordaikos 1-2 Pierikos (Gamma Ethniki - Group 2)
- 2024-02-11T13:00:00.000Z · Eordaikos 1-0 Pierikos (Gamma Ethniki - Group 2)
- 2023-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · Eordaikos 0-1 Pierikos (Gamma Ethniki - Group 2)
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Finikas Polichnis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Mpam | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Iraklis Therm. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Agiou Nikolaou | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Makedonikos Neapolis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Polykastrou | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Akrites Sykeon | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Panedessaikos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Kilkisiakos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | PAO Kristoni | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eordaikos win, at 56.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.