· Analysis updated 19:13 UTC
Epinal vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Epinal and 1.10 for St-Pryvé St-Hilaire, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Epinal the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.4% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Epinal home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Epinal to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 27% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Epinal and 1.10 for St-Pryvé St-Hilaire, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Epinal
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Biesheim · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Creteil · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Furiani-Agliani · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Haguenau · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chantilly · 4-1 (W)
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
- 2026-10-03T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Montlouis · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dieppe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Feignies-Aulnoye · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Colmar · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs St Maur Lusitanos · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National 2 - Group A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Maur Lusitanos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Chambly Thelle FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Creteil | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Racing Colombes 92 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Furiani-Agliani | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Feignies-Aulnoye | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Biesheim | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Dieppe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Le Pays du Valois | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Bastia-Borgo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Haguenau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Montlouis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Epinal | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Colmar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chantilly | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.