Espoonlahden urheilupuisto · Analysis updated 00:45 UTC
EPS vs P-Iirot Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.89 expected goals for EPS and 1.40 for P-Iirot, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives EPS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
EPS to Win
49.0% probability
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.7%
Why the model likes this
P-Iirot away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates EPS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.89 goals for EPS and 1.40 for P-Iirot, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
EPS
P-Iirot
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilves II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.