Sportpark Eschen/Mauren · Analysis updated 14:46 UTC
Eschen / Mauren III vs Balzers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Eschen / Mauren III and 2.41 for Balzers, a combined total of 4.36. That distribution gives Balzers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Balzers win
48.7% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 2.41
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eschen / Mauren III home form
0 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Balzers away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Balzers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 32% / 19% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Eschen / Mauren III and 2.41 for Balzers, a combined 4.36 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.2%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–16.0%
- 2–15.9%
- 1–35.8%
Recent form
Eschen / Mauren III
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Balzers II · 1-6 (L)
- 2025-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Vaduz III · 1-5 (L)
- 2024-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Balzers · 1-6 (L)
- 2023-09-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Vaduz III · 2-2 (D)
- 2022-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 0-8 (L)
Balzers
- 2026-04-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 2-4 (L)
- 2025-11-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Eschen / Mauren II · 4-1 (W)
- 2025-09-17T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Triesen II · 4-0 (W)
- 2025-06-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Chur 97 · 5-0 (W)
- 2025-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bülach · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaduz II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 |
| 2 | Balzers II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | Ruggell II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Schaan II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Triesenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Triesen II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Schaan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Vaduz III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Eschen / Mauren II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 10 | Ruggell III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 11 | Eschen / Mauren III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 12 | Balzers III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 13 | Triesenberg II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 14 | Triesen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Balzers win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.