· Analysis updated 02:27 UTC
Essingen vs 1. FC Muhlhausen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.56 expected goals for Essingen and 1.04 for 1. FC Muhlhausen, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Essingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws roughly 30% of the time.
Model pick
Essingen to Win
70.1% probability
Expected goals
2.56 – 1.04
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–17.9%
- 3–07.6%
- 1–17.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Essingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.56 goals for Essingen and 1.04 for 1. FC Muhlhausen, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Essingen to Win is the headline pick at 70% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Essingen
1. FC Muhlhausen
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Reutlingen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Essingen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | TSV Singen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Oberachern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | FC 08 Villingen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Bahlinger SC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Nöttingen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Teningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | CFR Pforzheim | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | FV Ravensburg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Holzhausen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Young Boys Reutlingen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Karlsruhe II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Türkspor Neckarsulm | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Normannia Gmünd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Balingen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | 1. FC Muhlhausen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.