Estac Troyes vs Angers Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Estac Troyes and 1.22 for Angers, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives Estac Troyes the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Estac Troyes to Win

54.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Estac Troyes win54%

Draw22%

Angers win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–110.0%
2–19.7%
1–08.2%
2–08.0%
3–16.3%

Why the model likes this

Estac Troyes home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Estac Troyes to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 22% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Estac Troyes and 1.22 for Angers, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Estac Troyes

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Panetolikos · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Auxerre · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-31T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Chasselay MDA · 5-2 (W)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenoble · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RED Star FC 93 · 1-0 (W)

Angers

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Paris FC · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lorient · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Le Mans · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Creteil · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Les Herbiers · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.