· Analysis updated 14:33 UTC
Etar VT II vs Juventus Malchika Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.27 expected goals for Etar VT II and 0.92 for Juventus Malchika, a combined total of 5.19. That distribution gives Etar VT II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 90%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 90% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Etar VT II win
90.1% probability
Expected goals
4.27 – 0.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Etar VT II home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Juventus Malchika away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
94%
Double chance X2
10%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–07.7%
- 3–07.2%
- 4–17.1%
- 3–16.7%
- 5–06.6%
Recent form
Etar VT II
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Partizan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Juventus Malchika · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademik Svishtov · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kom Berkovitsa · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-22T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yantra Polski Trambesh · 0-0 (D)
Juventus Malchika
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Litex · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademik Svishtov · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bdin · 2-8 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-07T13:00:00.000Z · Etar VT II 3-1 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2025-08-23T16:15:00.000Z · Etar VT II 2-0 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2025-04-12T14:00:00.000Z · Etar VT II 2-0 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2024-10-12T13:00:00.000Z · Etar VT II 1-2 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2024-03-30T14:00:00.000Z · Etar VT II 3-0 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2023-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · Etar VT II 1-0 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2023-05-14T15:00:00.000Z · Etar VT II 3-0 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2022-10-22T13:00:00.000Z · Etar VT II 0-2 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2022-02-27T12:00:00.000Z · Etar VT II 0-0 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
Third League - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akademik Svishtov | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Mezdra | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Yantra Polski Trambesh | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Partizan | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kom Berkovitsa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Sevlievo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Bdin | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Chavdar Troyan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Etar VT II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | OFK Levski | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Spartak Pleven II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Pavlikeni | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 | Juventus Malchika | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -16 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Etar VT II win, at 90.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 90% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.