Etimesgut SK vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Etimesgut SK and 1.40 for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik to Win

47.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Etimesgut SK win26%

Draw27%

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

0–113.4%
1–112.7%
0–09.5%
0–29.3%
1–09.1%

Why the model likes this

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 26% / 27% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for Etimesgut SK and 1.40 for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 46%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Etimesgut SK

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bursa Yıldırımspor · 3-1 (W)
2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kestel Çilek · 2-1 (W)
2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Galata · 1-0 (W)
2026-03-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Beykoz İshaklıspor · 1-0 (W)
2026-03-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs İnkılapspor · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.