Everton de Vina vs Colo Colo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Everton de Vina and 1.88 for Colo Colo, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Colo Colo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Colo Colo win

54.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Everton de Vina home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Colo Colo away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Everton de Vina win23%

Draw23%

Colo Colo win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–110.5%
1–29.8%
0–19.1%
0–28.5%
1–36.1%

Recent form

Everton de Vina

2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs D. La Serena · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-27T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Universidad de Chile · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-27T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Universidad de Chile · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Nublense · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-05T21:30:00.000Z · H vs U. Catolica · 0-1 (L)

Colo Colo

2026-09-29T21:00:00.000Z · A vs D. Puerto Montt · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-25T23:00:00.000Z · H vs A. Italiano · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-22T23:30:00.000Z · A vs A. Italiano · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-13T20:30:00.000Z · H vs Concepción · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-06T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Huachipato · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-01T19:00:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 3-4 Colo Colo (Primera División)
2026-02-07T23:30:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 0-2 Colo Colo (Primera División)
2025-08-10T16:30:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 1-1 Colo Colo (Primera División)
2025-03-09T23:30:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 0-2 Colo Colo (Primera División)
2024-08-25T19:00:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 0-1 Colo Colo (Primera División)
2024-03-30T21:00:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 1-4 Colo Colo (Primera División)
2024-01-28T00:00:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 0-1 Colo Colo (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 1-2 Colo Colo (Primera División)
2023-02-19T23:30:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 1-1 Colo Colo (Primera División)
2022-07-01T22:00:00.000Z · Everton de Vina 1-1 Colo Colo (Primera División)

Primera División table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	24	17	3	4	23	54
2	Universidad de Chile	24	13	6	5	22	45
3	U. Catolica	23	13	3	7	17	42
4	Everton de Vina	24	11	6	7	13	39
5	Palestino	24	11	4	9	3	37
6	Deportes Limache	24	10	4	10	8	34
7	D. La Serena	25	8	9	8	-3	33
8	Coquimbo Unido	23	9	5	9	3	32
9	Concepción	25	9	5	11	-3	32
10	Huachipato	24	9	5	10	-6	32
11	Nublense	24	8	8	8	-9	32
12	A. Italiano	24	7	8	9	-5	29
13	O'Higgins	25	8	4	13	-10	28
14	Cobresal	25	7	5	13	-10	26
15	Universidad de Concepcion	24	6	5	13	-22	23
16	Union La Calera	24	4	6	14	-21	18

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Colo Colo win, at 54.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.