· Analysis updated 15:29 UTC
Ezemvelo W vs Tshwane University W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Ezemvelo W and 1.70 for Tshwane University W, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Tshwane University W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tshwane University W win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tshwane University W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tshwane University W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 23% / 24% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Ezemvelo W and 1.70 for Tshwane University W, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–06.7%
Recent form
Ezemvelo W
Tshwane University W
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs First Touch W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs City Lads W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ezemvelo W · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · Ezemvelo W 0-3 Tshwane University W (Super League Women)
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 |
| 2 | JVW FC W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | TS Galaxy W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | University of Johannesburg W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tshwane University W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Pretoria U. W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Ramatlaohle W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | UWC W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Copperbelt Ladies W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | University of Fort Hare W | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Richmond United W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ezemvelo W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | First Touch W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Diepkloof W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Stellenbosch W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
| 16 | City Lads W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tshwane University W win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.