· Analysis updated 09:55 UTC
F91 Dudelange vs Mamer Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for F91 Dudelange and 1.26 for Mamer, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives F91 Dudelange the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
F91 Dudelange win
56.5% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
F91 Dudelange home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Mamer away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates F91 Dudelange to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 21% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for F91 Dudelange and 1.26 for Mamer, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–07.3%
- 3–16.7%
Recent form
F91 Dudelange
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs UN Kaerjeng 97 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs US Hostert · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wiltz · 2-1 (W)
Mamer
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Red Star Merl-Belair · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodange 91 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs F91 Dudelange · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Green Boys · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Etzella Ettelbruck · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is F91 Dudelange win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.