Denmark · DBU Pokalen · Round of 12817:00

1 – 0

Tuesday, 4 August 2026

Frederiksberg Idraetspark · Analysis updated 13:20 UTC

FA 2000 vs Fremad Amager Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for FA 2000 and 1.49 for Fremad Amager, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Fremad Amager the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.49

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FA 2000 home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Fremad Amager away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FA 2000 win34%
Draw25%
Fremad Amager win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 2–17.9%

Recent form

FA 2000

  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Roskilde · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Skive · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyngby · 0-1 (L)

Fremad Amager

  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Naestved · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HIK · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · FA 2000 1-0 Fremad Amager (DBU Pokalen)
  • 2024-11-28T17:15:00.000Z · FA 2000 1-1 Fremad Amager (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2024-05-18T11:45:00.000Z · FA 2000 2-1 Fremad Amager (2. Division)
  • 2024-04-19T17:00:00.000Z · FA 2000 1-2 Fremad Amager (2. Division)
  • 2024-03-15T18:00:00.000Z · FA 2000 0-0 Fremad Amager (2. Division)
  • 2023-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · FA 2000 0-3 Fremad Amager (2. Division)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.