· Analysis updated 23:44 UTC
Fach-Donaufeld vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Fach-Donaufeld and 1.39 for Wiener Viktoria, a combined total of 2.96. That distribution gives Fach-Donaufeld the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.
Model pick
Fach-Donaufeld or Draw
66.0% probability
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.39
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fach-Donaufeld to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 24% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.56 goals for Fach-Donaufeld and 1.39 for Wiener Viktoria, a combined 2.96 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Fach-Donaufeld or Draw is the headline pick at 66% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Fach-Donaufeld
Wiener Viktoria
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiener SC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Scheiblingkirchen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Oberwart | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Gloggnitz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Fach-Donaufeld | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Parndorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Leobendorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | SV Horn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Traiskirchen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiener Viktoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Favoritner AC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Krems / Rehberg | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Donau | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 15 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.