Falu BS vs Franke Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Falu BS and 1.20 for Franke, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Falu BS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Falu BS win

47.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Falu BS home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Franke away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Falu BS win47%

Draw25%

Franke win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–111.6%
1–09.6%
2–19.4%
2–07.8%
0–17.1%

Recent form

Falu BS

2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Enskede · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Angby · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kungsängen · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Täby · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Viggbyholms IK · 2-0 (W)

Franke

2026-10-17T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Lidingö · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Helges · 5-2 (W)
2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Korsnäs · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kungsängen · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sunnersta · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · Falu BS 3-1 Franke (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)
2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · Falu BS 2-1 Franke (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)
2025-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · Falu BS 2-2 Franke (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)
2025-06-15T14:00:00.000Z · Falu BS 1-0 Franke (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)
2024-09-14T12:00:00.000Z · Falu BS 2-0 Franke (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)
2024-05-18T14:00:00.000Z · Falu BS 2-0 Franke (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)

Division 2 - Norra Svealand table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skiljebo	25	17	5	3	30	56
2	Sunnersta	25	16	5	4	43	53
3	Enskede	25	16	4	5	18	52
4	Angby	25	15	6	4	29	51
5	Falu BS	25	13	5	7	10	44
6	Täby	25	12	5	8	16	41
7	Franke	25	10	4	11	2	34
8	Gute	25	9	5	11	0	32
9	Bollstanäs	25	8	7	10	-3	31
10	Kungsängen	25	5	10	10	-9	25
11	Lidingö	25	6	5	14	-25	23
12	Viggbyholms IK	25	6	4	15	-24	22
13	Korsnäs	25	3	5	17	-38	14
14	Helges	25	2	4	19	-49	10

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Falu BS win, at 47.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.