Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - Relegation Group 315:00

3 – 1

Saturday, 16 May 2026

OmarskaLWLDL

· Analysis updated 21:26 UTC

Famos Vojkovići vs Omarska Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Famos Vojkovići and 1.50 for Omarska, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Famos Vojkovići the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Famos Vojkovići home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Omarska away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Famos Vojkovići to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.73 goals for Famos Vojkovići and 1.50 for Omarska, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Famos Vojkovići win43%
Draw23%
Omarska win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 2–26.7%

Recent form

Famos Vojkovići

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leotar · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Romanija Pale · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Laktaši · 0-2 (L)

Omarska

  • 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Majevica Lopare · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Potkozarje · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sutjeska Foča · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Zvijezda 09 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Vlasenica · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar97202123
2Laktaši97111722
3Drina Zvornik94321115
4FK Majevica Lopare9432515
5Kozara Gradiška9432215
6Potkozarje9423014
7FK Romanija Pale9405-812
8Rudar Prijedor9324-311
9Velež Nevesinje9324-911
10Famos Vojkovići9315-410
11Slavija9243-510
12Sutjeska Foča9225-68
13Omarska9126-85
14Zvijezda 099117-134

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.