Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - 414:30

1 – 0

Saturday, 5 September 2026

PotkozarjeLWLWL

· Analysis updated 07:03 UTC

Famos Vojkovići vs Potkozarje Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Famos Vojkovići and 1.16 for Potkozarje, a combined total of 2.26. That distribution gives Potkozarje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.16

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Famos Vojkovići home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Potkozarje away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Potkozarje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 34% / 29% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.10 goals for Famos Vojkovići and 1.16 for Potkozarje, a combined 2.26 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Famos Vojkovići win34%
Draw29%
Potkozarje win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–112.2%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 1–27.7%

Recent form

Famos Vojkovići

  • 2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Rudar Prijedor · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Drina Zvornik · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sutjeska Foča · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 2-0 (W)

Potkozarje

  • 2026-10-21T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Drina Zvornik · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sutjeska Foča · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavija · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Velež Nevesinje · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Leotar · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar1310302633
2Laktaši1310122931
3Drina Zvornik136341421
4Potkozarje13625120
5FK Majevica Lopare12543619
6Kozara Gradiška13544119
7Rudar Prijedor13535-318
8FK Romanija Pale13607-618
9Famos Vojkovići13526-517
10Slavija13364-515
11Sutjeska Foča12327-911
12Velež Nevesinje13328-2311
13Omarska13247-1110
14Zvijezda 0913229-158

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.