Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - 1212:30

4 – 2

Wednesday, 21 October 2026

· Analysis updated 01:03 UTC

Famos Vojkovići vs Rudar Prijedor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.71 expected goals for Famos Vojkovići and 1.48 for Rudar Prijedor, a combined total of 3.19. That distribution gives Famos Vojkovići the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Famos Vojkovići home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rudar Prijedor away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Famos Vojkovići to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 23% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.71 goals for Famos Vojkovići and 1.48 for Rudar Prijedor, a combined 3.19 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Famos Vojkovići win43%
Draw23%
Rudar Prijedor win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 2–26.6%

Recent form

Famos Vojkovići

  • 2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Rudar Prijedor · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Drina Zvornik · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sutjeska Foča · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 2-0 (W)

Rudar Prijedor

  • 2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Famos Vojkovići · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zvijezda 09 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozara Gradiška · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Omarska · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laktaši · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar1310302633
2Laktaši1310122931
3Drina Zvornik136341421
4Potkozarje12624220
5FK Majevica Lopare12543619
6Kozara Gradiška13544119
7FK Romanija Pale13607-618
8Famos Vojkovići12516-516
9Rudar Prijedor12435-415
10Slavija13364-515
11Sutjeska Foča12327-911
12Velež Nevesinje13328-2311
13Omarska12237-119
14Zvijezda 0913229-158

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.