· Analysis updated 12:03 UTC
Fana vs Åsane II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.38 expected goals for Fana and 1.53 for Åsane II, a combined total of 4.91. That distribution gives Fana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fana win
72.6% probability
Expected goals
3.38 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fana home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Åsane II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 14% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.38 goals for Fana and 1.53 for Åsane II, a combined 4.91 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.3%
- 2–16.4%
- 4–16.1%
- 3–25.6%
- 2–24.9%
Recent form
Fana
- 2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vard · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Os · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stord · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 2-2 (D)
Åsane II
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Førde · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fana win, at 72.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.