· Analysis updated 13:37 UTC
Fana vs Austevoll Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.82 expected goals for Fana and 1.95 for Austevoll, a combined total of 4.77. That distribution gives Fana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Fana win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
2.82 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fana home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Austevoll away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 18% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.82 goals for Fana and 1.95 for Austevoll, a combined 4.77 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.6%
- 2–26.4%
- 3–16.2%
- 3–26.0%
- 1–14.6%
Recent form
Fana
- 2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vard · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Os · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stord · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 2-2 (D)
Austevoll
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sogndal II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gneist · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Djerv · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fana win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.