· Analysis updated 14:43 UTC
Fana vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.26 expected goals for Fana and 0.89 for Fyllingsdalen, a combined total of 5.16. That distribution gives Fana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 91%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 91% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fana win
90.5% probability
Expected goals
4.26 – 0.89
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fana home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fyllingsdalen away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 91%, against 91% / 6% / 3% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.26 goals for Fana and 0.89 for Fyllingsdalen, a combined 5.16 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
97%
Double chance 12
94%
Double chance X2
10%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–07.9%
- 3–07.4%
- 4–17.1%
- 5–06.8%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Fana
- 2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vard · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Os · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stord · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 2-2 (D)
Fyllingsdalen
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Os · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stord · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fana win, at 90.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 91% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.