· Analysis updated 16:47 UTC
Fana vs Os Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Fana and 2.60 for Os, a combined total of 4.90. That distribution gives Os the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Os win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
2.30 – 2.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fana home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Os away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Os to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 36% / 18% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.30 goals for Fana and 2.60 for Os, a combined 4.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.7%
- 1–25.8%
- 2–35.8%
- 2–15.1%
- 3–25.1%
Recent form
Fana
- 2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vard · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Os · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stord · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 2-2 (D)
Os
- 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sogndal II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Varegg · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane II · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Os win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.