· Analysis updated 12:00 UTC
Farul Constanţa W vs Csikszereda MC W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Farul Constanţa W and 1.00 for Csikszereda MC W, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Farul Constanţa W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Farul Constanţa W win
70.8% probability
Expected goals
2.55 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Farul Constanţa W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Csikszereda MC W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Farul Constanţa W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 16% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.55 goals for Farul Constanţa W and 1.00 for Csikszereda MC W, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 3–07.9%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–07.3%
Recent form
Farul Constanţa W
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda MC W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Cluj W · 8-1 (W)
Csikszereda MC W
- 2026-10-21T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Farul Constanţa W win, at 70.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.