· Analysis updated 13:37 UTC
Farul Constanţa W vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Farul Constanţa W and 4.38 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined total of 8.88. That distribution gives Farul Constanţa W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 90% for both teams to score, with 4–4 the single most likely scoreline at 4%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
58.8% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 4.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Farul Constanţa W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Farul Constanţa W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 15% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Farul Constanţa W and 4.38 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined 8.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–43.6%
- 4–33.3%
- 5–43.3%
- 3–43.2%
- 4–53.2%
Recent form
Farul Constanţa W
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda MC W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Cluj W · 8-1 (W)
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Csikszereda MC W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 24 |
| 2 | Farul Constanţa W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 21 |
| 3 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 15 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -51 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -79 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 58.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 90% and over 2.5 goals at 92%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.