· Analysis updated 08:31 UTC
Farul Constanţa W vs Olimpia Cluj W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Farul Constanţa W and 1.70 for Olimpia Cluj W, a combined total of 6.20. That distribution gives Farul Constanţa W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Farul Constanţa W win
81.9% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Farul Constanţa W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Farul Constanţa W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 9% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Farul Constanţa W and 1.70 for Olimpia Cluj W, a combined 6.20 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 91% and both teams to score at 78%, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
18%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–15.9%
- 5–15.3%
- 3–15.2%
- 4–25.0%
- 5–24.5%
Recent form
Farul Constanţa W
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda MC W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Cluj W · 8-1 (W)
Olimpia Cluj W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Farul Constanţa W win, at 81.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.
A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.