· Analysis updated 15:25 UTC
FAS vs Platense Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for FAS and 0.80 for Platense, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives FAS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FAS win
61.7% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FAS home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Platense away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FAS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 22% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for FAS and 0.80 for Platense, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.2%
- 2–012.1%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–07.3%
Recent form
FAS
- 2026-10-11T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Balboa · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T01:30:00.000Z · H vs Alianza · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-05T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Inca Aruba · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Municipal Limeño · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Cacahuatique · 2-0 (W)
Platense
- 2026-09-20T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Águila · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Balboa · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Isidro Metapán · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Cacahuatique · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Inter · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 31 |
| 2 | FAS | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Águila | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Inter | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | Platense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Alianza | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FAS win, at 61.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.