Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 1017:10

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Friday, 2 October 2026

· Analysis updated 16:19 UTC

Favoritner AC vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Favoritner AC and 2.20 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win

72.9% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.65 – 2.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Favoritner AC home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 10% / 18% / 73% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.65 goals for Favoritner AC and 2.20 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Favoritner AC win10%
Draw18%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win73%

Double chance 1X

27%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

90%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score43%

Correct score

  • 0–214.0%
  • 0–112.7%
  • 0–310.3%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–18.3%

Recent form

Favoritner AC

  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Parndorf · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Krems / Rehberg · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Donau · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Leobendorf · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 2-0 (W)

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

  • 2026-10-02T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Favoritner AC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oberwart · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Traiskirchen · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Horn · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloggnitz · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Ost table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf128131825
2Wiener SC127231523
3Oberwart12723823
4Traiskirchen12633421
5Wiener Viktoria12624620
6Krems / Rehberg12624420
7Fach-Donaufeld12624120
8Scheiblingkirchen12543-119
9Leobendorf12525217
10Mattersburg SV 202012516-416
11Parndorf12435015
12Favoritner AC12417-613
13Gloggnitz12345-713
14Donau12264-412
15SV Horn12327-311
16Wienerberg120111-331

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win, at 72.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.