FC 105 vs Cercle Mbéri Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for FC 105 and 0.70 for Cercle Mbéri, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives FC 105 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC 105 win

51.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 0.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC 105 home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Cercle Mbéri away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FC 105 win51%

Draw29%

Cercle Mbéri win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%

Over 2.5 goals32%

Over 3.5 goals14%

Both teams to score37%

Correct score

1–017.6%
0–013.5%
1–112.3%
2–011.4%
0–19.5%

Recent form

FC 105

2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs US Oyem · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lozo · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ogooue FC · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)

Cercle Mbéri

2026-07-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lozo · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ogooue FC · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bouenguidi · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Pélican · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-14T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-06-03T14:30:00.000Z · FC 105 1-5 Cercle Mbéri (Championnat D1)
2026-04-04T14:30:00.000Z · FC 105 2-2 Cercle Mbéri (Championnat D1)
2025-05-06T15:00:00.000Z · FC 105 3-0 Cercle Mbéri (Championnat D1)
2025-01-12T00:00:00.000Z · FC 105 1-1 Cercle Mbéri (Championnat D1)
2023-02-08T00:00:00.000Z · FC 105 0-0 Cercle Mbéri (Championnat D1)

Championnat D1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mounana	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Mangasport	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Lozo	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Pélican	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Ogooue FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Oyem AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Stade Mandji	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Cercle Mbéri	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Stade Migoveen	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC 105	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	US Oyem	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Bitam	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Missile	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Vautour Club	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC 105 win, at 51.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.