· Analysis updated 08:02 UTC
FC Andorra vs Europa Fc Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.08 expected goals for FC Andorra and 1.00 for Europa Fc, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives FC Andorra the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FC Andorra win
78.4% probability
Expected goals
3.08 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Andorra home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Europa Fc away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Andorra to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 13% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.08 goals for FC Andorra and 1.00 for Europa Fc, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
22%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–08.2%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–08.0%
- 2–18.0%
- 4–06.3%
Recent form
FC Andorra
- 2026-10-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Girona · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Castellón · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabadell · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Granada CF · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:15:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Gijon · 1-3 (L)
Europa Fc
- 2026-10-23T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Zaragoza · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Cartagena · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Algeciras · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Huesca · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rayo Majadahonda · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · FC Andorra 0-0 Europa Fc (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Andorra win, at 78.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.