FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for FC Anyang and 1.63 for Gangwon FC, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Gangwon FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Gangwon FC win

46.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Anyang home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gangwon FC away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FC Anyang win29%

Draw24%

Gangwon FC win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–111.5%
1–29.3%
0–19.2%
0–27.4%
2–17.2%

Recent form

FC Anyang

2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulsan Hyundai FC · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Gwangju FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-09T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Daejeon Citizen · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gangwon FC · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-29T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Bucheon FC 1995 · 1-1 (D)

Gangwon FC

2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Incheon United · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-20T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Jeju United FC · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-17T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Kitchee · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-13T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-09T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Jeonbuk Motors · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · FC Anyang 0-3 Gangwon FC (K League 1)
2026-07-26T10:30:00.000Z · FC Anyang 2-1 Gangwon FC (K League 1)
2026-03-15T07:30:00.000Z · FC Anyang 1-1 Gangwon FC (K League 1)
2025-10-05T07:30:00.000Z · FC Anyang 1-1 Gangwon FC (K League 1)
2025-05-28T10:30:00.000Z · FC Anyang 3-1 Gangwon FC (K League 1)
2025-04-06T07:30:00.000Z · FC Anyang 2-0 Gangwon FC (K League 1)
2016-09-28T09:00:00.000Z · FC Anyang 0-3 Gangwon FC (K League 2)
2016-09-03T10:00:00.000Z · FC Anyang 0-0 Gangwon FC (K League 2)
2016-05-29T05:00:00.000Z · FC Anyang 1-4 Gangwon FC (K League 2)
2016-04-30T06:00:00.000Z · FC Anyang 0-2 Gangwon FC (K League 2)

K League 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	31	20	5	6	32	65
2	Ulsan Hyundai FC	31	14	5	12	4	47
3	Gangwon FC	31	11	13	7	10	46
4	Jeju United FC	31	12	10	9	5	46
5	Jeonbuk Motors	31	11	11	9	9	44
6	Daejeon Citizen	31	11	10	10	10	43
7	Incheon United	31	11	9	11	6	42
8	FC Anyang	31	10	11	10	-8	41
9	Pohang Steelers	31	11	7	13	-9	40
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	31	5	18	8	-7	33
11	Bucheon FC 1995	31	7	11	13	-11	32
12	Gwangju FC	31	2	12	17	-41	18

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Gangwon FC win, at 46.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.