Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · Sudwest - 617:00

2 – 1

Tuesday, 8 September 2026

· Analysis updated 06:23 UTC

FC Astoria Walldorf vs Stuttgarter Kickers Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for FC Astoria Walldorf and 1.63 for Stuttgarter Kickers, a combined total of 3.24. That distribution gives Stuttgarter Kickers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FC Astoria Walldorf home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Stuttgarter Kickers away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FC Astoria Walldorf win38%
Draw23%
Stuttgarter Kickers win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 0–16.4%

Recent form

FC Astoria Walldorf

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hessen Kassel · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfR Aalen · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Trier · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Sandhausen · 1-2 (L)

Stuttgarter Kickers

  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfR Mannheim · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Offenbach · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-09T12:00:00.000Z · FC Astoria Walldorf 0-1 Stuttgarter Kickers (Regionalliga - SudWest)
  • 2025-11-08T13:00:00.000Z · FC Astoria Walldorf 1-2 Stuttgarter Kickers (Regionalliga - SudWest)
  • 2025-03-01T13:00:00.000Z · FC Astoria Walldorf 3-2 Stuttgarter Kickers (Regionalliga - SudWest)
  • 2024-08-24T12:00:00.000Z · FC Astoria Walldorf 0-1 Stuttgarter Kickers (Regionalliga - SudWest)
  • 2024-05-05T12:00:00.000Z · FC Astoria Walldorf 3-2 Stuttgarter Kickers (Regionalliga - SudWest)
  • 2023-10-28T12:00:00.000Z · FC Astoria Walldorf 2-2 Stuttgarter Kickers (Regionalliga - SudWest)
  • 2023-01-28T11:30:00.000Z · FC Astoria Walldorf 5-1 Stuttgarter Kickers (Friendlies Clubs)

Regionalliga - SudWest table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1SGV Freiberg137601927
2VfR Aalen138321227
3VfR Mannheim137511326
4Stuttgarter Kickers13724423
5Eintracht Trier13715-122
6Kickers Offenbach13634621
7FC 08 Homburg13553120
8SV Sandhausen13544-219
9Freiburg II12453517
10TSV Steinbach13445016
11Eintracht Frankfurt II12516-116
12Hessen Kassel13427-714
13FC Astoria Walldorf13346-213
14FSV Frankfurt13346-313
15Kaiserslautern II13256-1311
16FSV Mainz 05 II13328-1311
17SSV Ulm 184613175-710
18Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.13238-119

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.