FC Bocholt vs Westfalia Rhynern Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for FC Bocholt and 1.88 for Westfalia Rhynern, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives FC Bocholt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Bocholt home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Westfalia Rhynern away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Bocholt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for FC Bocholt and 1.88 for Westfalia Rhynern, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FC Bocholt win42%

Draw21%

Westfalia Rhynern win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

1–17.8%
2–17.8%
1–27.3%
2–27.3%
3–15.2%

Recent form

FC Bocholt

2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiedenbrück · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Wattenscheid 09 · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportfreunde Siegen · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-01T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bonner SC · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn II · 4-2 (W)

Westfalia Rhynern

2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Bonner SC · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bergisch Gladbach · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Köln II · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund II · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum II · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - West table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund II	14	10	4	0	17	34
2	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	13	10	1	2	19	31
3	FC Gutersloh	14	9	2	3	11	29
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	14	8	2	4	13	26
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	14	7	4	3	11	25
6	Köln II	14	6	3	5	3	21
7	Westfalia Rhynern	14	6	3	5	-2	21
8	Schalke 04 II	14	6	2	6	2	20
9	Hilden	14	5	4	5	-5	19
10	Bonner SC	14	4	6	4	1	18
11	FC Bocholt	14	4	5	5	-3	17
12	Bergisch Gladbach	14	5	2	7	-8	17
13	Bochum II	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Paderborn II	13	3	5	5	-4	14
15	SG Wattenscheid 09	13	3	3	7	-6	12
16	SV Rodinghausen	14	2	4	8	-7	10
17	Wiedenbrück	14	2	2	10	-19	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	14	1	3	10	-18	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.