FC Botosani vs Uta Arad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for FC Botosani and 1.13 for Uta Arad, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives FC Botosani the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC Botosani win

52.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Botosani home form
5 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Uta Arad away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Botosani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for FC Botosani and 1.13 for Uta Arad, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FC Botosani win52%

Draw24%

Uta Arad win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–111.1%
1–09.9%
2–19.7%
2–08.6%
0–16.3%

Recent form

FC Botosani

2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanta · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-24T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-17T18:30:00.000Z · A vs FCSB · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 0-0 (D)

Uta Arad

2026-10-10T14:15:00.000Z · A vs FC Botosani · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanta · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Minerul Lupeni · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga I table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	11	8	2	1	18	26
2	Rapid	11	7	3	1	9	24
3	Universitatea Craiova	11	7	2	2	16	23
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	11	6	1	4	-1	19
5	Universitatea Cluj	11	6	0	5	2	18
6	Farul Constanta	11	4	5	2	2	17
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	11	4	4	3	3	16
8	CFR 1907 Cluj	11	5	1	5	0	16
9	FCSB	11	4	3	4	-3	15
10	FC Botosani	11	3	5	3	4	14
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Uta Arad	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Arges Pitesti	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	Oţelul	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	FC Voluntari	11	2	2	7	-14	8
16	Csikszereda	11	0	1	10	-18	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Botosani win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.