FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Germania Halberstadt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.40 expected goals for FC Carl Zeiss Jena and 1.33 for Germania Halberstadt, a combined total of 3.72. That distribution gives FC Carl Zeiss Jena the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC Carl Zeiss Jena win

61.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.40 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Carl Zeiss Jena home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Germania Halberstadt away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FC Carl Zeiss Jena win61%

Draw19%

Germania Halberstadt win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

2–19.2%
1–17.7%
3–17.4%
2–06.9%
2–26.1%

Recent form

FC Carl Zeiss Jena

2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs BFC Dynamo · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Luckenwalde · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Magdeburg II · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tasmania Berlin · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotive Leipzig · 1-2 (L)

Germania Halberstadt

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Plauen · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Halle · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Frankfurt · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Sandersdorf · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-07-04T12:00:00.000Z · FC Carl Zeiss Jena 4-2 Germania Halberstadt (Friendlies Clubs)
2026-02-01T13:00:00.000Z · FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 Germania Halberstadt (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-02-26T12:00:00.000Z · FC Carl Zeiss Jena 5-0 Germania Halberstadt (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2022-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 Germania Halberstadt (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2022-02-12T13:05:00.000Z · FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0-0 Germania Halberstadt (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2021-08-17T16:00:00.000Z · FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 Germania Halberstadt (Regionalliga - Nordost)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Carl Zeiss Jena win, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.