Parken Stadium · Analysis updated 13:44 UTC
FC Copenhagen vs Odense Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for FC Copenhagen and 0.80 for Odense, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives FC Copenhagen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
FC Copenhagen win
66.9% probability
Expected goals
2.08 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Copenhagen home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Odense away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Copenhagen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 20% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for FC Copenhagen and 0.80 for Odense, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.1%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–08.4%
Recent form
FC Copenhagen
- 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Midtjylland · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brondby · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Skovshoved · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AC Horsens · 2-0 (W)
Odense
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 4-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Midtjylland · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Randers FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Viborg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Brondby | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Aarhus | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Copenhagen win, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.