Denmark · Kvindeliga · Matchweek 1013:00

1 – 2

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Brøndby WLDWWW

· Analysis updated 00:00 UTC

FC Copenhagen W vs Brøndby W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for FC Copenhagen W and 3.15 for Brøndby W, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Brøndby W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Brøndby W win

81.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.88 – 3.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FC Copenhagen W home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Brøndby W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Brøndby W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 7% / 11% / 82% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.88 goals for FC Copenhagen W and 3.15 for Brøndby W, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FC Copenhagen W win7%
Draw11%
Brøndby W win82%

Double chance 1X

18%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

93%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 0–39.3%
  • 0–28.9%
  • 1–38.1%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–47.3%

Recent form

FC Copenhagen W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odense Q W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · H vs KoldingQ W · 2-6 (L)

Brøndby W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Kvindeliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Køge W129212029
2Nordsjælland W116412022
3Brøndby W126331621
4Fortuna Hjørring W126331321
5Midtjylland W12633321
6ASA Aarhus W12615-419
7KoldingQ W12417-1013
8Odense Q W12417-1513
9FC Copenhagen W122010-246
10AGF W111010-193

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Brøndby W win, at 81.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.