Denmark · Kvindeliga · Matchweek 1312:00

12:00 UTC

Saturday, 31 October 2026

· Analysis updated 05:47 UTC

FC Copenhagen W vs Nordsjælland W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for FC Copenhagen W and 2.45 for Nordsjælland W, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Nordsjælland W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Nordsjælland W win

69.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 2.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FC Copenhagen W home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Nordsjælland W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Nordsjælland W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 14% / 17% / 69% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for FC Copenhagen W and 2.45 for Nordsjælland W, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FC Copenhagen W win14%
Draw17%
Nordsjælland W win69%

Double chance 1X

31%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

86%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 0–29.5%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–37.8%
  • 1–37.8%
  • 0–17.8%

Recent form

FC Copenhagen W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odense Q W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · H vs KoldingQ W · 2-6 (L)

Nordsjælland W

  • 2026-10-18T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Køge W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AGF W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Kvindeliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Køge W129212029
2Nordsjælland W116412022
3Brøndby W126331621
4Fortuna Hjørring W126331321
5Midtjylland W12633321
6ASA Aarhus W12615-419
7KoldingQ W12417-1013
8Odense Q W12417-1513
9FC Copenhagen W122010-246
10AGF W111010-193

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Nordsjælland W win, at 69.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.