Denmark · Kvindeliga · Matchweek 1111:00

1 – 2

Saturday, 17 October 2026

Odense Q WWLWDL

· Analysis updated 13:48 UTC

FC Copenhagen W vs Odense Q W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for FC Copenhagen W and 1.73 for Odense Q W, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives FC Copenhagen W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FC Copenhagen W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Odense Q W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Copenhagen W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.90 goals for FC Copenhagen W and 1.73 for Odense Q W, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FC Copenhagen W win43%
Draw22%
Odense Q W win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–18.7%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 3–15.3%

Recent form

FC Copenhagen W

  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · H vs KoldingQ W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs AGF W · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 3-1 (W)

Odense Q W

  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs KoldingQ W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Kvindeliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Køge W108111925
2Nordsjælland W116412022
3Brøndby W106221720
4Fortuna Hjørring W115331118
5Midtjylland W11533218
6ASA Aarhus W11515-516
7KoldingQ W11416-913
8Odense Q W11416-1413
9FC Copenhagen W11209-226
10AGF W111010-193

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.