FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs FC Slutsk Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk and 1.67 for FC Slutsk, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Slutsk away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win45%

Draw22%

FC Slutsk win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–18.7%
2–18.5%
1–27.3%
2–27.1%
3–15.5%

Recent form

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

2026-10-25T11:30:00.000Z · H vs BATE II · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Uni Minsk · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 · 5-1 (W)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gomel II · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Orsha · 5-1 (W)

FC Slutsk

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slonim · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-16T12:30:00.000Z · A vs BATE II · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Uni Minsk · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Gomel II · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 0-3 FC Slutsk (1. Division)
2024-09-07T08:00:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 0-2 FC Slutsk (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-07-13T13:00:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 0-5 FC Slutsk (Coppa)
2023-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 1-1 FC Slutsk (Premier League)
2023-03-19T11:00:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 1-0 FC Slutsk (Premier League)
2023-01-21T09:00:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 2-0 FC Slutsk (Friendlies Clubs)
2022-08-20T11:00:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 2-1 FC Slutsk (Premier League)
2022-04-09T12:30:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 1-1 FC Slutsk (Premier League)
2022-03-05T00:00:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 2-1 FC Slutsk (Friendlies Clubs)
2021-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 0-2 FC Slutsk (Premier League)

1. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Slutsk	30	20	6	4	32	66
2	Lida	30	20	3	7	11	63
3	Niva	30	19	5	6	41	62
4	FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk	30	18	5	7	29	59
5	Slonim	30	16	5	9	18	53
6	Shakhter Soligorsk	30	13	8	9	14	47
7	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	29	14	3	12	-2	45
8	Bumprom	30	12	5	13	6	41
9	Ostrovets FC	30	9	12	9	-1	39
10	Smorgon	30	11	6	13	-4	39
11	Volna	30	11	5	14	-11	38
12	Dinamo Minsk II	27	10	5	12	1	35
13	Minsk II	30	10	3	17	-16	33
14	Uni Minsk	29	7	9	13	-8	30
15	Orsha	30	8	6	16	-21	30
16	Gomel II	30	6	6	18	-20	24
17	Osipovichy	30	6	5	19	-40	23
18	BATE II	29	5	7	17	-29	22

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.