· Analysis updated 19:02 UTC
FC Frankfurt vs ZFC Meuselwitz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for FC Frankfurt and 3.20 for ZFC Meuselwitz, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives ZFC Meuselwitz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ZFC Meuselwitz win
84.3% probability
Expected goals
0.75 – 3.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Frankfurt home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ZFC Meuselwitz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 6% / 10% / 84% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.75 goals for FC Frankfurt and 3.20 for ZFC Meuselwitz, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 50%, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
16%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–310.5%
- 0–29.9%
- 0–48.4%
- 1–37.9%
- 1–27.4%
Recent form
FC Frankfurt
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Germania Halberstadt · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Einheit Rudolstadt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eilenburg · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Sandersdorf · 0-8 (L)
ZFC Meuselwitz
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Sandersdorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Weissenfels · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Krieschow · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Empor Glauchau · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZFC Meuselwitz | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Germania Halberstadt | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 |
| 3 | Auerbach | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | Eilenburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | VfL Halle | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Weissenfels | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Dresden II | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Union Sandersdorf | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Plauen | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Freital | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Budissa Bautzen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Einheit Wernigerode | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Empor Glauchau | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Krieschow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 5 |
| 15 | Einheit Rudolstadt | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -15 | 3 |
| 16 | FC Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -21 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ZFC Meuselwitz win, at 84.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.