Monjasa Park · Analysis updated 13:49 UTC
FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for FC Fredericia and 0.90 for AB Copenhagen, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives FC Fredericia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
71.5% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Fredericia home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
AB Copenhagen away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Fredericia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 30% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for FC Fredericia and 0.90 for AB Copenhagen, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.8%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.9%
- 0–111.6%
- 2–08.5%
Recent form
FC Fredericia
- 2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Esbjerg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hobro · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hillerød · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vejle · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 0-0 (D)
AB Copenhagen
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolding IF · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs HB Koge · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus Fremad · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Esbjerg · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonderjyske · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Vejle | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | AB Copenhagen | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Hobro | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Hillerød | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | HB Koge | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Vendsyssel FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.