· Analysis updated 21:43 UTC
FC Gießen vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for FC Gießen and 2.30 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf, a combined total of 4.10. That distribution gives Rot-Weiß Walldorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Rot-Weiß Walldorf win
49.5% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 2.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Gießen home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rot-Weiß Walldorf away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–16.2%
- 1–36.0%
Recent form
FC Gießen
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Stadtallendorf · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hummetroth · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · A vs TuBa Pohlheim · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eddersheim · 1-3 (L)
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
- 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Eddersheim · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernwald · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vfb Marburg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs 1960 Hanau · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kassel 2 · 4-3 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-14T13:00:00.000Z · FC Gießen 3-2 Rot-Weiß Walldorf (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2025-08-31T13:30:00.000Z · FC Gießen 4-4 Rot-Weiß Walldorf (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2025-02-01T13:00:00.000Z · FC Gießen 1-1 Rot-Weiß Walldorf (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-05-17T16:30:00.000Z · FC Gießen 2-1 Rot-Weiß Walldorf (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2023-10-29T14:00:00.000Z · FC Gießen 2-1 Rot-Weiß Walldorf (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2023-05-13T12:00:00.000Z · FC Gießen 2-0 Rot-Weiß Walldorf (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2022-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · FC Gießen 4-0 Rot-Weiß Walldorf (Oberliga - Hessen)
Oberliga - Hessen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 33 |
| 2 | Unter-Flockenbach | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Friedberg | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Hadamar | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Eddersheim | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Darmstadt 98 II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | TuBa Pohlheim | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Hünfelder SV | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
| 9 | Fernwald | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21 |
| 10 | Vfb Marburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 12 | Kassel | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 18 |
| 13 | Bayern Alzenau | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | 1960 Hanau | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | Hummetroth | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 | Kassel 2 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Gießen | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Rot-Weiß Walldorf win, at 49.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.