Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field · Analysis updated 04:20 UTC
FC Gifu vs Yokohama FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for FC Gifu and 1.60 for Yokohama FC, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Yokohama FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.4% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Gifu home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Yokohama FC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Yokohama FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 37% / 24% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for FC Gifu and 1.60 for Yokohama FC, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.0%
- 1–06.7%
Recent form
FC Gifu
- 2026-10-25T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Roasso Kumamoto · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-21T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sagamihara · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Fukushima United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Gainare Tottori · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Renofa Yamaguchi · 0-2 (L)
Yokohama FC
- 2026-09-29T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Gifu · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Kataller Toyama · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Imabari · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Iwaki · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Albirex Niigata · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.