FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for FC Iberia 1999 and 1.35 for Dinamo Tbilisi, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Dinamo Tbilisi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Iberia 1999 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo Tbilisi away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FC Iberia 1999 win32%

Draw27%

Dinamo Tbilisi win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

1–112.7%
0–111.1%
1–09.4%
1–28.6%
0–08.2%

Recent form

FC Iberia 1999

2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Mjallby AIF · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dila · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Truiden · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Meshakhte · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Tbilisi · 1-2 (L)

Dinamo Tbilisi

2026-10-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rustavi · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spaeri · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Batumi · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Iberia 1999 · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Samgurali · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-06-27T15:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi (Super Cup)
2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga)
2026-03-15T14:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga)
2025-11-26T15:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga)
2025-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga)
2025-05-20T16:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga)
2025-04-09T16:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga)
2024-11-01T16:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 2-0 Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga)
2024-08-25T16:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga)
2024-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · FC Iberia 1999 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi (David Kipiani Cup)

Erovnuli Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	30	16	8	6	16	56
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	30	15	9	6	18	54
3	FC Iberia 1999	29	16	4	9	11	52
4	Rustavi	30	15	7	8	10	52
5	Dila	30	12	4	14	3	40
6	Samgurali	30	11	5	14	-12	38
7	Torpedo Kutaisi	29	9	10	10	8	37
8	Gagra	30	6	12	12	-17	30
9	Spaeri	30	5	12	13	-11	27
10	Meshakhte	30	3	11	16	-26	20

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.