SOK Olympijskij · Analysis updated 05:16 UTC
FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Torpedo Zhodino Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for FC Isloch Minsk R. and 1.00 for Torpedo Zhodino, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives FC Isloch Minsk R. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
FC Isloch Minsk R. win
65.1% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Isloch Minsk R. home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Torpedo Zhodino away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–07.3%
Recent form
FC Isloch Minsk R.
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Naftan · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Minsk · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Vitebsk · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Neman · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Gomel · 2-1 (W)
Torpedo Zhodino
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Mozyr · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naftan · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs ML Vitebsk · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Minsk · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Moskva · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-05T17:55:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 2-0 Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League)
- 2026-02-21T10:00:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 1-0 Torpedo Zhodino (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-11-23T13:00:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League)
- 2025-06-28T11:00:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 1-3 Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League)
- 2024-11-10T11:00:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League)
- 2024-06-23T15:00:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League)
- 2024-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino (Coppa)
- 2024-04-17T15:00:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 1-0 Torpedo Zhodino (Coppa)
- 2024-02-17T10:30:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 2-2 Torpedo Zhodino (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2023-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · FC Isloch Minsk R. 1-2 Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 55 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 47 |
| 5 | Neman | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | FC Gomel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 28 |
| 12 | Belshina | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Arsenal | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 24 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | Naftan | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -38 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Isloch Minsk R. win, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.