· Analysis updated 03:27 UTC
FC Koln II W vs Viktoria Berlin W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.77 expected goals for FC Koln II W and 2.68 for Viktoria Berlin W, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Viktoria Berlin W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viktoria Berlin W win
77.5% probability
Expected goals
0.77 – 2.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Berlin W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Berlin W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 8% / 14% / 78% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.77 goals for FC Koln II W and 2.68 for Viktoria Berlin W, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 50%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
23%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
92%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–211.4%
- 0–310.1%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–37.8%
Recent form
FC Koln II W
Viktoria Berlin W
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayer Leverkusen W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Berlin W win, at 77.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.