· Analysis updated 10:56 UTC
FC Lebbeke vs RFC Wetteren Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.66 expected goals for FC Lebbeke and 1.71 for RFC Wetteren, a combined total of 4.37. That distribution gives FC Lebbeke the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FC Lebbeke win
58.1% probability
Expected goals
2.66 – 1.71
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Lebbeke home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
RFC Wetteren away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.6%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.5%
- 3–25.8%
- 1–15.7%
Recent form
FC Lebbeke
- 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs RFC Wetteren · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs VW Hamme · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ninove · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs HO Kalken · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Eendracht Aalst · 1-1 (D)
RFC Wetteren
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs VW Hamme · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Diksmuide · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Petegem · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-04-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lebbeke · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-03-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs VW Hamme · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-11T18:00:00.000Z · FC Lebbeke 0-3 RFC Wetteren (Second Amateur Division - VFV A)
- 2025-11-29T19:00:00.000Z · FC Lebbeke 2-1 RFC Wetteren (Second Amateur Division - VFV A)
- 2020-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · FC Lebbeke 2-2 RFC Wetteren (Third Amateur Division - VFV A)
- 2019-11-23T19:00:00.000Z · FC Lebbeke 1-0 RFC Wetteren (Third Amateur Division - VFV A)
- 2019-02-16T18:30:00.000Z · FC Lebbeke 0-6 RFC Wetteren (Third Amateur Division - VFV A)
- 2018-10-06T18:00:00.000Z · FC Lebbeke 2-1 RFC Wetteren (Third Amateur Division - VFV A)
Second Amateur Division - VFV A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eendracht Aalst | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Diksmuide | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Voorde Appelterre | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Mechelen II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Oostkamp | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Lebbeke | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sparta Petegem | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Ninove | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Torhout | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | VW Hamme | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Londerzeel | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Zulte Waregem II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | RFC Wetteren | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | KRC Gent | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | HO Kalken | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Oudenaarde | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Lebbeke win, at 58.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.