FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.25 expected goals for FC Levadia Tallinn and 0.65 for IFK Goteborg, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives FC Levadia Tallinn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 87%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 87% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

FC Levadia Tallinn win

86.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.25 – 0.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Levadia Tallinn win87%

Draw9%

IFK Goteborg win4%

Double chance 1X

96%

Double chance 12

91%

Double chance X2

14%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

3–011.6%
2–010.7%
4–09.4%
3–17.5%
2–16.9%

Why the model likes this

FC Levadia Tallinn home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Levadia Tallinn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 87%, against 87% / 9% / 4% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.25 goals for FC Levadia Tallinn and 0.65 for IFK Goteborg, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 46%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

FC Levadia Tallinn

2026-08-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Laagri · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nõmme United · 5-0 (W)
2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vaprus · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-30T16:30:00.000Z · H vs IFK Goteborg · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs IFK Goteborg · 2-1 (W)

IFK Goteborg

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.