· Analysis updated 13:49 UTC
FC Liefering vs WSG Wattens Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for FC Liefering and 1.76 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 3.24. That distribution gives WSG Wattens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.2% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.76
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Liefering home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
WSG Wattens away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates WSG Wattens to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 33% / 23% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for FC Liefering and 1.76 for WSG Wattens, a combined 3.24 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.0%
- 2–17.6%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
FC Liefering
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs WSG Wattens · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Floridsdorfer AC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs SKN ST. Polten · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-28T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Voitsberg · 3-2 (W)
WSG Wattens
- 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Liefering · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Vienna · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TSV Hartberg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.